China’s Qin Gang’s Expulsion Raises Rumors, But Foreign Policy Impact Unlikely: Report

Qin Gang’s sudden removal as China’s foreign minister has fueled rumors and speculation regarding his departure. While talk of affairs, conspiracies and scandals circulate online, experts argue that the real reason for her downfall remains elusive. Despite the uncertainty, analysts believe changes to Beijing’s foreign policy and governance, especially under President Xi Jinping, will be minimal.

Qin Gang was suddenly removed as China’s foreign minister, and after a few weeks, she has been out of the public eye. Various speculations have permeated the online conversation, including discussions of personal affairs, secret intrigues and corrupt practices. The rise comes against the backdrop of a major reshuffle of policymakers within the Chinese government.

Surprising Turn of Events: The Mysterious Fall of the Kin Gang

Quinn Gang’s career path has taken an unexpected turn as he climbs the ranks and his involvement with Western Europe and the United Kingdom. His promotion to ambassador to the United States in 2021 was notable as a result of personal support from Chinese President Xi Jinping, bypassing the Foreign Ministry’s preferred candidate.

According to sources cited by Foreign Policy, Xi Jinping valued Qin’s ability to advocate for China’s interests with a unique nuance, setting him apart from abrasive figures like Zhao Lijian. While the circumstances surrounding Qin’s removal are shrouded in mystery, his sudden ouster from the Foreign Ministry leadership, which he only assumed in December 2022, puzzled many.

Impact on Chinese Foreign Policy and Governance: A Limited Outcome

While rumors and speculation surrounding Qin Gang’s removal have been rife, experts say the ramifications for China’s foreign policy landscape are largely muted. Several factors contribute to this assessment:

Role of Foreign Minister and its limited political significance

In the complex web of the Chinese party-state structure, the position of foreign minister carries a distinct but limited political weight. Unlike their counterparts in parliamentary democracies, foreign ministers in China are not usually members of the Politburo, the highest decision-making body of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). As history reveals, the influence of foreign ministers has declined over time, their importance being surpassed by figures such as the director of the General Office of the CCP Central Committee Foreign Affairs Commission.

Although Qin Gang was not a member of the Politburo, his removal underscored the prevailing understanding that the foreign minister’s role, while important, did not require him to exercise substantial power over important foreign policy decisions.

Continuity of leadership and the authority of Xi Jinping

The appointment of Wang Yi, who succeeded Qin Kong as foreign minister, further bolsters expectations that China will continue on its foreign policy path. Wang’s extensive experience and attachment to the established political order suggest that significant deviations from the current course are unlikely. Wang’s concurrent leadership of the General Office of the Foreign Affairs Commission underscored his high position within the Party hierarchy.

As president and party leader, Xi Jinping is the driving force behind major foreign policy decisions. Under Xi’s leadership, the centralization of power has intensified, ensuring that key strategic choices are concentrated in the hands of a select few.

Absence of divisions and power bases

The removal of the Qin Gang did not bear clear signs of factional conflict within the CCP. Over the past decade, Xi Jinping’s consolidation of power has reduced the importance of rival factions for control. While the term „wolf warrior diplomacy” refers to the staunch defense of China’s interests abroad, this attitude emerged as a prevailing style during the Xi era rather than a distinct sect.

Despite the uncertainty arising from personnel changes and purges, the consistent theme is Xi’s singular authority, resulting in a structured distribution of power emanating from the president himself.

Xi Jinping’s Growing Inner Circle and Implications for China’s Future

Qin Gang’s removal comes amid a changing landscape for Chinese leadership. The ongoing crackdown on corruption and economic challenges in the People’s Liberation Army’s rocket force have raised questions about the stability of China’s power structure. While Xi continues to inspire loyalists, figures such as Qin Gang and former Vice President Wang Qishan have faced marginalization after their periods of prominence.

As Xi’s rule continues, the list of key figures helps prevent the emergence of significant factions and strengthen the president’s central authority. While past purges have helped Xi consolidate his position, the current environment is marked by a cycle of uncertainty that affects not only China’s domestic landscape but also its international engagements.

An intriguing change with far-reaching implications

In the wake of Qin Gang’s unexpected departure, the Chinese political scene is experiencing another intriguing shift, underscoring Xi Jinping’s strategy of securing his dominance through a dynamic inner circle. Although Qin’s fall may seem gratuitous on its own, it resonates within a broader context of ongoing purges and power dynamics, adding layers of complexity to China’s governance. As the country navigates these troubled waters, internal and external observers are left to ponder the evolving nature of Chinese politics and its changes on the global stage.