Hideki Matsuyama managed to stave off a crowded leaderboard in Memphis last weekend to open the FedEx Cup playoffs, which continue this week with the 2024 BMW Championship. Matsuyama was a 30-1 longshot last week, but his price has been cut to 18-1 in the 2024 BMW Championship odds. He still sits behind world No. 1 Scotty Scheffler, who is a +320 favorite on the PGA odds panel. Other BMW Championship contenders include Xander Schauffele (+650), Rory McIlroy (+1000) and Collin Morikawa (+1200).
Scheffler won the gold medal in Paris and finished fourth last week. Given his short odds for this week’s race at Castle Pines, how should you approach Scheffler with your 2024 BMW Championship race? Before locking in your 2024 BMW Championship picks or PGA props, definitely View golf predictions and projected leaderboards from a proven computer model at SportsLine.
Our proprietary model, developed by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour relaunched in June 2020. In fact, this model costs more than $9,500 in its best bets.
The same model has won 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters — his third consecutive Masters — and this year’s PGA Championship and US Open. Anyone who followed it saw massive returns.
Now with the BMW Championship 2024 field set, SportsLine simulated the match 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head over to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Best 2024 BMW Championship Golf Predictions
One surprise: McIlroy, a four-time major champion and one of the favorites, didn’t crack the top five this week. McIlroy is coming off a tough week in Memphis, finishing with rounds of 73, 74 and 74 over the final three days. He finished second-to-last overall among golfers in wins over the weekend, and it was statistically the second-worst week of his career.
McIlroy had his third-worst week in strokes gained, so he’s not in good shape heading into the second event of the playoffs. He has gone more than a decade since his last major win, winning three of his last four runs at the US Open earlier this season. McIlroy fell well short of a medal at the Olympics, so Modell can’t count on him to meet expectations this week.
The model also examines where Schaeffel ends up. Schaffel nearly completed one of the greatest comebacks in PGA Tour history at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, entering the clubhouse Sunday nine shots behind the leader with a share of the lead. Hideki Matsuyama came up with some winning shots on the last few holes, but Schaeffel kept up the pace he’s played all season.
The world No. 2 won his first major at the PGA Championship in May before adding victory at the Open Championship last month. He has recorded 13 top 10 finishes in the 19 matches he has played. However, he has some short odds in the field, so there may be other golfers worth more. The model is now locked in its Xander Schauffele BMW Championship selections.
How to make 2024 BMW Championship selections
Rory McIlroy and Sander Schaffel identify three golfers with odds of 30-1 or more and reveal where they end up with a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots can hit it big. Here you can see only the choices of the model.
Who will win the 2024 BMW Championship and which longshots will stun the golf world? Check BMW Championship 2024 odds below Visit SportsLine to see the BMW Championship leaderboard, all from the model that has won 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters, the PGA Championship and the US Open..
2024 BMW Championship Odds, Field
Get full 2024 BMW Championship picks, best bets and predictions here.
Scotty Scheffler +320
Xander Schauffele +650
Rory McIlroy +1000
Colin Morikawa +1200
Victor Hovland +1800
Ludwig Aberg +1800
Hideki Matsuyama +1800
Patrick Cantlay +2200
Tommy Fleetwood +2500
Tony Finau +2500
Corey Conners +3000
Sam Burns +3000
Wyndham Clark +3500
Sungjae Im +3500
Cameron Young +4000
Billy Horschel +4000
Adam Scott +4000
Aaron Roy +4000
Russell Henley +4000
Justin Thomas +4000
Shane Lowry +4500
Sahit Thigala +4500
Jason Day +4500
Pyong Han An +5000
Akshay Bhatia +5000
Matt Fitzpatrick +5000
Davis Thompson +5000
Christian Bezuidenhout +5500
Robert McIntyre +5500
Brian Harman +6000
Keegan Bradley +6000
Alex Noran +6500
Will Zalatoris +6500
Taylor Pentrith +6500
Max Grazerman +6500
Denny McCarthy +7000
Thomas Detry +7500
Woo Kim +7500
Sep Straka +7500
Tom Hoge +8000
Nick Dunlap +8000
Maximum Homam +8000
Eric Cole +8000
Cam Davis +9000
Austin Eggrott +9000
JD Boston +11000
Chris Kirk +12000
Adam Hadwin +12000
Stephen Jaeger +12000
Mathieu Pavon +15000